Fewer Births Than Deaths Among Whites in Majority of U.S. States

The New York Times (06/20/2018)
  • The US Census Bureau found that White American deaths outnumber births in 26 states.
  • The shift is driven by persistently low post-recession white fertility rates and higher mortality rates partially driven by opioid epidemic.
  • These findings signal White Americans (as % of total population) may fall below 50% sooner than anticipated (2045).
  • While many believe shift will benefit liberals, republicans could continue winning presidential electoral vote majorities until 2036 by gaining more support from non-college educated white voters (44% of eligible voters).