Biden’s Voters Appear Far More Likely To Vote By Mail Than Trump’s. That Could Make For A Weird Election Night.

FiveThirtyEight (08/28/2020)
  • Coronavirus worries will result in an estimated (record) 30% of Americans casting their ballots by mail this Fall.
  • However, a recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that only 11% of Trump supporters said they planned to vote by mail vs 47% of Biden supporters.
  • If the polling results hold true, Election Day in-person votes will skew towards Trump (+33%) while mail-in votes will heavily favor Biden (+63%).
  • This discrepancy could result in delayed results and more allegations of mail fraud by Trump.